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The Morass of Debt

Interview with Dr. Lacy Hunt on the pervasive effects of accumulated debt on the economy and financial market pricing.  

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The Anatomy of a Financial Meltdown

The Euro debt situation continues to deteriorate and the U.S. is not far behind. All the distress that is now focused on government debt comes from excessive private indebtedness as developed world...

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Roadblocks to Recovery an Interview with Dr. Lacy Hunt

The extent and implication of the U. S. debt overload. Neither monetary nor fiscal policy can solve the debt problem nor the profound side effects of excess debt. Download .pdf Welling at Weeden Interview

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The Now Generation Government Has Failed the Marshmallow Test: Making Sense...

Over the past five years, the government has applied the usual demand-side remedies in the epic battle against The Great Recession. The graph shows the time profile of past recessions and recoveries as...

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Is the Cyprus Bank Fiasco the Template for the Future?

We are living in profound times. The Great Recession, followed by epic levels of deficit spending sustained by monetary policy, is now having short-term remedial effects on the U.S. economy. But before...

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On Saving the Economy: Plan B

The antidote to a troubled macro environment since Keynes wrote the book in the 1930s Depression has been the dual demand-side sledgehammers of government deficit spending and monetary expansion. This...

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Country Debt Enablers and the Greek Conundrum

For a country with little penchant to tax and a greater penchant to spend, financing its fiscal deficit is an ongoing chore. When it comes to financing its deficits, governments have tricks up their...

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The Next Leg of Globalism

In 1993, there was a great debate carried live on national TV between then-Vice President Al Gore and Dallas entrepreneur Ross Perot. The issue was the pros and cons of going global. Equally unusual in...

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The US Growth Machine is Red Taped to Death

We can chastise the Federal Reserve for being unable to get itself to move off of a zero interest rate (because doing so has harmful side effects), but the Fed has no other way to influence the...

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Negative Interest Rate Neverland

In the wonky world of central banking, the Rx for reviving an economy comes down to reducing the cost of credit so that borrowers are tempted to borrow and spend. These notions, taught in central...

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Bond Refugees Flee to Stock Lands

Tension is building among stock investors. Stock prices have levitated while the most fundamental determinant of stock price support— an uplift in corporate earnings — has gone soft. But on the other...

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The Mad Genius of the Zero-Forever Bond

That the developed world’s governments are accumulating outsized debt shouldn’t be news to anyone. Unless there are some tricks up the government’s sleeves — and they are tricksters — there will be...

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The House of Cards: EU Edition

Negative interest rates pursued by central banks of distressed economies are more of a problem than a solution. They bleed investment income from financial institutions already facing asset write-offs....

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It’s a Whole New Ballgame: The Fed Has Been Stymied: (Part 1)

To prevent a reoccurrence of the 2008 financial meltdown, the banks of the G-20 countries must now operate under new rules that encourages substantially higher holding of cash. This changes both the...

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In The New Monetary Ballgame, the Game Is Rigged for US Treasuries (Part 2)

Financial crises, à la 2008, are an invitation for regulation that carries far-reaching and unintended consequences. Banks across the developed world are being forced to hold more cash and cash-like...

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The Pernicious Effects of Debt Accumulation: An Interview with Lacy Hunt

This monthly SpellmanReport is an interview with Lacy Hunt, Ph.D., a prominent economist and investment manager noted for his views on inflation and deflation, interest rates, and monetary policy....

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Houston, We’ve Had a Problem

The Federal Reserve responded to the spectacular financial meltdown of 2008 by putting a bottom under the cascading financial prices. This was accomplished by buying, buying, and buying some more. Then...

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At the Cross Roads of Money and Inflation

We all have in our heads the instinctive notion that more money circulating in an economy is inflationary. Indeed the notion of the proportionality of money and prices exists in academia as well. It is...

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The Trump Tariff Offensive

Tariffs revision designed to cure trade deficits have become a live and contentious economic policy issue. Despite the ripples it creates, confronting the trade deficit is long overdue given its...

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